Segunda Division | Gameweek 11
Oct 15, 2023 at 1pm UK
Estadio Municipal de El Plantio
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Burgos and Villarreal II.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burgos win with a probability of 52.92%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Villarreal II had a probability of 20.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burgos win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.22%) and 2-1 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.17%), while for a Villarreal II win it was 0-1 (8.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burgos would win this match.
| Result |
| Burgos | Draw | Villarreal II |
52.92% ( 0.28) | 26.73% ( 0.12) | 20.34% ( -0.4) |
| Both teams to score 41.87% ( -0.78) |
| 38.95% ( -0.75) | 61.04% ( 0.75) |
| 18.97% ( -0.56) | 81.03% ( 0.56) |
| 76.68% ( -0.2) | 23.31% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.74% ( -0.29) | 57.26% ( 0.29) |
| 54.6% ( -0.88) | 45.4% ( 0.88) |
