SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burgos win with a probability of 52.92%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Villarreal II had a probability of 20.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burgos win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.22%) and 2-1 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.17%), while for a Villarreal II win it was 0-1 (8.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burgos would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Burgos | Draw | Villarreal II |
52.92% ( 0.28) | 26.73% ( 0.12) | 20.34% ( -0.4) |
| Both teams to score 41.87% ( -0.78) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.95% ( -0.75) | 61.04% ( 0.75) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.97% ( -0.56) | 81.03% ( 0.56) |
| Burgos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.68% ( -0.2) | 23.31% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.74% ( -0.29) | 57.26% ( 0.29) |
| Villarreal II Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.6% ( -0.88) | 45.4% ( 0.88) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.75% ( -0.7) | 81.25% ( 0.7) |
| Score Analysis |
| Burgos | Draw | Villarreal II |
| 1-0 @ 15.41% ( 0.34) 2-0 @ 11.22% ( 0.19)2-1 @ 8.86% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 5.45% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 4.3% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 1.98% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.7% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 1.57% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.44% Total : 52.92% | 1-1 @ 12.17% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 10.58% ( 0.29)2-2 @ 3.5% ( -0.12)Other @ 0.48% Total : 26.73% | 0-1 @ 8.36% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 4.81% ( -0.13)0-2 @ 3.3% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.69% Total : 20.34% |
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