Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tenerife win with a probability of 55.67%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Burgos had a probability of 16.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tenerife win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.76%) and 2-1 (8.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.8%), while for a Burgos win it was 0-1 (8.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tenerife would win this match.

Result
Tenerife	Draw	Burgos
55.67% ( 0.69)	27.36% ( -0)	16.97% ( -0.69)

Both teams to score 35.88% (

-0.98)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

33.82% (

-0.68)

66.18% (

0.68)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

15.3% (

-0.47)

84.7% (

0.47)

Tenerife Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.64% (

24.36% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.23%

58.77%

Burgos Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

47.43% (

-1.3)

52.57% (

1.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

13.63% (

-0.85)

86.37% (

0.85)

Score Analysis

Tenerife 55.66%

Burgos 16.97%

Draw 27.35%

Tenerife	Draw	Burgos
1-0 @ 18.08% ( 0.45) 2-0 @ 12.76% ( 0.31) 2-1 @ 8.21% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 6.01% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 3.87% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 2.12% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.36% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.24% ( -0.07) Other @ 2% Total : 55.66%	0-0 @ 12.8% ( 0.31) 1-1 @ 11.63% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 2.64% ( -0.14) Other @ 0.28% Total : 27.35%	0-1 @ 8.24% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 3.74% ( -0.2) 0-2 @ 2.65% ( -0.14) Other @ 2.34% Total : 16.97%