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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing de Santander win with a probability of 46.74%. A draw had a probability of 29.4% and a win for Burgos had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing de Santander win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.01%) and 2-1 (8.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.88%), while for a Burgos win it was 0-1 (10.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Racing de Santander would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Racing de Santander | Draw | Burgos |
46.74% ( 0.24) | 29.36% ( 0.21) | 23.9% ( -0.45) |
| Both teams to score 39.36% ( -0.83) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 33.72% ( -0.85) | 66.29% ( 0.85) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.22% ( -0.58) | 84.78% ( 0.58) |
| Racing de Santander Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.29% ( -0.3) | 28.71% ( 0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.47% ( -0.37) | 64.54% ( 0.37) |
| Burgos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.21% ( -0.93) | 44.8% ( 0.94) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.23% ( -0.76) | 80.77% ( 0.76) |
| Score Analysis |
| Racing de Santander | Draw | Burgos |
| 1-0 @ 16.04% ( 0.36) 2-0 @ 10.01% ( 0.14)2-1 @ 8.04% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 4.17% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.35% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 1.34% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 1.3% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.04% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.44% Total : 46.73% | 1-1 @ 12.88% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 12.86% ( 0.4)2-2 @ 3.23% ( -0.12)Other @ 0.38% Total : 29.35% | 0-1 @ 10.32% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 5.18% ( -0.15)0-2 @ 4.15% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.76% Total : 23.89% |
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