SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eibar win with a probability of 45.69%. A win for Mirandes had a probability of 27.23% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eibar win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.85%) and 0-2 (8.8%). The likeliest Mirandes win was 1-0 (9.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eibar would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Mirandes | Draw | Eibar |
27.23% ( 0.14) | 27.07% ( 0.13) | 45.69% ( -0.27) |
| Both teams to score 47.59% ( -0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.86% ( -0.39) | 57.14% ( 0.39) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.99% ( -0.31) | 78.01% ( 0.31) |
| Mirandes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.41% ( -0.1) | 36.58% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.63% ( -0.1) | 73.37% ( 0.09) |
| Eibar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.04% ( -0.3) | 24.95% ( 0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.4% ( -0.42) | 59.59% ( 0.42) |
| Score Analysis |
| Mirandes | Draw | Eibar |
| 1-0 @ 9.18% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 6.41% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 4.62% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 2.15% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.55% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.49% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.85% Total : 27.23% | 1-1 @ 12.74% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 9.13% ( 0.13)2-2 @ 4.45% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.75% Total : 27.07% | 0-1 @ 12.67% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 8.85% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 8.8% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 4.09% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 4.07% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 2.06% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.42% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 1.41% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.33% Total : 45.69% |
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