Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eibar win with a probability of 48.36%. A draw had a probability of 30.4% and a win for Tenerife had a probability of 21.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eibar win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.88%) and 2-1 (7.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.97%), while for a Tenerife win it was 0-1 (10.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eibar would win this match.
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