Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eibar win with a probability of 38.92%. A win for Amorebieta had a probability of 31.42% and a draw had a probability of 29.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eibar win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.71%) and 1-2 (7.62%). The likeliest Amorebieta win was 1-0 (11.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eibar would win this match.
1.38) 
-1.9) 
