SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 68.31%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Mancha Real had a probability of 11.25%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (14.42%) and 0-3 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.41%), while for a Mancha Real win it was 1-0 (4.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 14.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Mancha Real | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
| 11.25% | 20.44% | 68.31% |
| Both teams to score 39.83% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.99% | 53.01% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.4% | 74.6% |
| Mancha Real Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 46.63% | 53.37% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 13.12% | 86.88% |
| Athletic Bilbao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.43% | 14.58% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 57.36% | 42.64% |
| Score Analysis |
| Mancha Real | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
| 1-0 @ 4.89% 2-1 @ 2.95% 2-0 @ 1.53% Other @ 1.88% Total : 11.25% | 1-1 @ 9.41% 0-0 @ 7.78% 2-2 @ 2.84% Other @ 0.41% Total : 20.44% | 0-1 @ 14.98% 0-2 @ 14.42% 0-3 @ 9.26% 1-2 @ 9.06% 1-3 @ 5.82% 0-4 @ 4.46% 1-4 @ 2.8% 2-3 @ 1.83% 0-5 @ 1.72% 1-5 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.89% Total : 68.3% |
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