We said: Osasuna 1-1 Athletic Bilbao
Athletic have been the draw specialists in La Liga this season, sharing the points on nine occasions, and we are predicting another draw on Monday night. Osasuna have also gone a long time without picking up all three points in the league, so it would not be a surprise to see a stalemate in this contest.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 35.98%. A win for Osasuna had a probability of 33.79% and a draw had a probability of 30.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.13%) and 0-2 (7.04%). The likeliest Osasuna win was 1-0 (12.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.
