We said: Athletic Bilbao 1-1 Sevilla
This is a very tough match for Sevilla off the back of a European fixture, and we are struggling to back the visitors to triumph this weekend. Athletic have drawn nine of their 16 league matches this season, losing just three times, and we are predicting another stalemate for the Basque outfit here.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 45.48%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 27.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.89%) and 1-2 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.84%), while for an Athletic Bilbao win it was 1-0 (9.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Sevilla in this match.
