We said: Getafe 1-2 Athletic Bilbao
Athletic have not beaten Getafe away from home in the league since January 2016, but we just have a feeling for the Basque outfit here. Marcelino's side are certainly due a victory in Spain's top flight, and it would not be a surprise to see them shade a close contest on Monday night.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Getafe win with a probability of 37.36%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 32.68% and a draw had a probability of 30%.
The most likely scoreline for a Getafe win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.37%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 (12.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.