Real Madrid
1 - 0
Athletic Bilbao

Benzema (40')
Modric (68'), Casemiro (77')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Zarraga (31'), Lekue (43'), Williams (77')

Preview

The Match

We said: Real Madrid 3-1 Athletic Bilbao

Given the form of the two sides, we can only see Los Blancos extending their winning run on Wednesday. The hosts' front line is full of confidence, while the visitors are far from their best and could be picked apart in the capital. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 66.74%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 12.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.91%) and 2-1 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.74%), while for an Athletic Bilbao win it was 0-1 (5.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Real Madrid in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Real Madrid.

Result
Real Madrid	Draw	Athletic Bilbao
66.74%	21.01%	12.25%

Both teams to score 41.16%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.06%

52.94%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.46%

74.54%

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.95%

15.05%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.45%

43.55%

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

48.45%

51.55%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.29%

85.71%

Score Analysis

Real Madrid 66.74%

Athletic Bilbao 12.25%

Draw 21.01%

Real Madrid	Draw	Athletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 14.69% 2-0 @ 13.91% 2-1 @ 9.22% 3-0 @ 8.78% 3-1 @ 5.82% 4-0 @ 4.16% 4-1 @ 2.76% 3-2 @ 1.93% 5-0 @ 1.58% 5-1 @ 1.04% 4-2 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.94% Total : 66.74%	1-1 @ 9.74% 0-0 @ 7.76% 2-2 @ 3.06% Other @ 0.46% Total : 21.01%	0-1 @ 5.14% 1-2 @ 3.23% 0-2 @ 1.7% Other @ 2.19% Total : 12.25%