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Copa del Rey | Second Round
Dec 5, 2024 at 7pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Marbella

Marbella
1 - 0
Burgos

Alvarez Prieto (90+3')
Callejon (32'), Alayeto Fernandez (41'), Manuel Carrasco Correa (44'), Punal Rodriguez (54')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Espiau (32'), Cordoba (46')
Coverage of the Copa del Rey Second Round clash between Marbella and Burgos.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Bergantinos 1-2 Marbella
Wednesday, October 30 at 6.30pm in Copa del Rey
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Last Game: Levante 3-1 Burgos
Sunday, December 1 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burgos win with a probability of 51.86%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Marbella had a probability of 21.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burgos win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.62%) and 1-2 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.25%), while for a Marbella win it was 1-0 (8.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.

Result
MarbellaDrawBurgos
21.69% (-0.191 -0.19) 26.45% (-0.106 -0.11) 51.86% (0.299 0.3)
Both teams to score 44.2% (0.053000000000004 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.1% (0.188 0.19)58.9% (-0.186 -0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.61% (0.146 0.15)79.39% (-0.14400000000001 -0.14)
Marbella Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.3% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)42.7% (0.093000000000004 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.96% (-0.077000000000002 -0.08)79.03% (0.079000000000008 0.08)
Burgos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.13% (0.214 0.21)22.86% (-0.212 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.4% (0.311 0.31)56.6% (-0.309 -0.31)
Score Analysis
    Marbella 21.69%
    Burgos 51.84%
    Draw 26.44%
MarbellaDrawBurgos
1-0 @ 8.31% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-1 @ 5.22% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-0 @ 3.54% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-1 @ 1.48% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.09% (-0.002 -0)
3-0 @ 1% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 1.06%
Total : 21.69%
1-1 @ 12.25% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 9.76% (-0.068999999999999 -0.07)
2-2 @ 3.85% (0.0020000000000002 0)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 26.44%
0-1 @ 14.4% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 10.62% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
1-2 @ 9.05% (0.026 0.03)
0-3 @ 5.23% (0.061 0.06)
1-3 @ 4.45% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
0-4 @ 1.93% (0.035 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.89% (0.012 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.64% (0.025 0.02)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 51.84%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Bergantinos 1-2 Marbella
Wednesday, October 30 at 6.30pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Marbella 1-3 Racing de Ferrol
Wednesday, November 1 at 7pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Marbella 2-3 Valladolid
Tuesday, January 5 at 8pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Marbella 1-0 Lleida
Wednesday, December 16 at 7pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Marbella 1-1 Valladolid (1-4 pen.)
Saturday, January 11 at 8pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Marbella 0-1 Ebro
Wednesday, September 5 at 7.30pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Levante 3-1 Burgos
Sunday, December 1 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Burgos 1-0 Eibar
Saturday, November 23 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Racing 2-0 Burgos
Saturday, November 16 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Burgos 0-2 Sporting Gijon
Sunday, November 10 at 3.15pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Real Oviedo 3-1 Burgos
Sunday, November 3 at 1pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Mostoles 2-5 Burgos
Wednesday, October 30 at 6.30pm in Copa del Rey


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