SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burgos win with a probability of 51.86%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Marbella had a probability of 21.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burgos win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.62%) and 1-2 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.25%), while for a Marbella win it was 1-0 (8.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Marbella | Draw | Burgos |
21.69% ( -0.19) | 26.45% ( -0.11) | 51.86% ( 0.3) |
| Both teams to score 44.2% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.1% ( 0.19) | 58.9% ( -0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.61% ( 0.15) | 79.39% ( -0.14) |
| Marbella Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.3% ( -0.09) | 42.7% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 20.96% ( -0.08) | 79.03% ( 0.08) |
| Burgos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.13% ( 0.21) | 22.86% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.4% ( 0.31) | 56.6% ( -0.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| Marbella | Draw | Burgos |
| 1-0 @ 8.31% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 5.22% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 3.54% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 1.48% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.09% ( -0)3-0 @ 1% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.06% Total : 21.69% | 1-1 @ 12.25% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 9.76% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 3.85% ( 0)Other @ 0.58% Total : 26.44% | 0-1 @ 14.4% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 10.62% ( 0.05)1-2 @ 9.05% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 5.23% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 4.45% ( 0.04)0-4 @ 1.93% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.64% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.64% Total : 51.84% |
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