Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eibar win with a probability of 35.8%. A win for Burgos had a probability of 34.21% and a draw had a probability of 30%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eibar win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.18%) and 0-2 (6.95%). The likeliest Burgos win was 1-0 (12.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.
-0.09) 
0.14) 
