SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Levante win with a probability of 50.15%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Burgos had a probability of 24.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Levante win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 2-0 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.97%), while for a Burgos win it was 0-1 (7.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Levante would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Levante | Draw | Burgos |
50.15% ( 0.33) | 25.17% ( -0.17) | 24.67% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 50.99% ( 0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.34% ( 0.52) | 51.65% ( -0.53) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.56% ( 0.45) | 73.44% ( -0.46) |
| Levante Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.38% ( 0.35) | 20.61% ( -0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.83% ( 0.55) | 53.16% ( -0.55) |
| Burgos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.23% ( 0.14) | 35.77% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.45% ( 0.15) | 72.54% ( -0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Levante | Draw | Burgos |
| 1-0 @ 11.64% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 9.45% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 9.2% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.98% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 4.84% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 2.56% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 1.97% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 1.91% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.01% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.59% Total : 50.14% | 1-1 @ 11.97% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 7.37% ( -0.16)2-2 @ 4.86% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.97% Total : 25.17% | 0-1 @ 7.58% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 6.15% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.9% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 2.11% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.67% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.94% Total : 24.68% |
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