Copa del Rey | First Round
Nov 1, 2023 at 11am UK
Estadio Municipal Mariano Gonzalez
Faya (31'), Ruiz (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Lara (21')
Gomez (81'), Gonzalez (87')
Coverage of the Copa del Rey First Round clash between Navalcarnero and Alcorcon.
Form, Standings, Stats
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:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alcorcon win with a probability of 58.03%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Navalcarnero had a probability of 19.06%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alcorcon win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.6%) and 1-2 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.89%), while for a Navalcarnero win it was 1-0 (6.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Alcorcon in this match.
| Result |
| Navalcarnero | Draw | Alcorcon |
19.06% ( 0.54) | 22.9% ( 0.46) | 58.03% ( -1) |
| Both teams to score 50.48% ( -0.5) |
| 51.4% ( -1.14) | 48.59% ( 1.14) |
| 29.28% ( -1.05) | 70.71% ( 1.04) |
| 60.43% ( -0.06) | 39.57% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 23.74% ( -0.06) | 76.25% ( 0.06) |
| 83.54% ( -0.73) | 16.46% ( 0.73) |
