Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Oviedo win with a probability of 42.93%. A draw had a probability of 30.6% and a win for Alcorcon had a probability of 26.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Oviedo win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.09%) and 2-1 (7.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.95%), while for an Alcorcon win it was 0-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Oviedo would win this match.

Result
Real Oviedo	Draw	Alcorcon
42.93% ( 0.74)	30.6% ( -0.03)	26.47% ( -0.71)

Both teams to score 38.32% (

-0.31)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

31.51% (

-0.17)

68.49% (

0.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

13.74% (

-0.11)

86.26% (

0.11)

Real Oviedo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.07% (

0.34)

31.93% (

-0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.62% (

0.38)

68.38% (

-0.38)

Alcorcon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.3% (

-0.73)

43.7% (

0.73)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.12% (

-0.61)

79.88% (

0.61)

Score Analysis

Real Oviedo 42.93%

Alcorcon 26.47%

Draw 30.59%

Real Oviedo	Draw	Alcorcon
1-0 @ 15.93% ( 0.25) 2-0 @ 9.09% ( 0.22) 2-1 @ 7.53% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 3.46% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 2.87% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.19% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 0.99% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.88% Total : 42.93%	0-0 @ 13.95% ( 0.09) 1-1 @ 13.18% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 3.12% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.35% Total : 30.59%	0-1 @ 11.55% ( -0.16) 1-2 @ 5.46% ( -0.14) 0-2 @ 4.78% ( -0.17) 1-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.07) Other @ 1.85% Total : 26.47%