SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Zaragoza win with a probability of 40.66%. A draw had a probability of 30.8% and a win for Alcorcon had a probability of 28.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Zaragoza win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.43%) and 2-1 (7.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.83%), while for an Alcorcon win it was 0-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Real Zaragoza | Draw | Alcorcon |
40.66% ( 1.14) | 30.77% ( 0.46) | 28.57% ( -1.61) |
| Both teams to score 38.95% ( -1.67) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 31.74% ( -1.71) | 68.26% ( 1.7) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 13.89% ( -1.15) | 86.1% ( 1.14) |
| Real Zaragoza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.85% ( -0.21) | 33.14% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.25% ( -0.23) | 69.74% ( 0.23) |
| Alcorcon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.26% ( -2.31) | 41.73% ( 2.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.79% ( -2.08) | 78.2% ( 2.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Zaragoza | Draw | Alcorcon |
| 1-0 @ 15.27% ( 0.85) 2-0 @ 8.43% ( 0.42)2-1 @ 7.37% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 3.11% ( 0.14)3-1 @ 2.71% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 1.19% ( -0.1)Other @ 2.58% Total : 40.66% | 0-0 @ 13.83% ( 0.85) 1-1 @ 13.34% ( -0.08)2-2 @ 3.22% ( -0.25)Other @ 0.37% Total : 30.76% | 0-1 @ 12.08% 1-2 @ 5.83% ( -0.41)0-2 @ 5.28% ( -0.34)1-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.24)0-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.21)2-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.14)Other @ 1.19% Total : 28.56% |
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