SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alcorcon win with a probability of 41.95%. A draw had a probability of 29.9% and a win for Cartagena had a probability of 28.19%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alcorcon win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.62%) and 2-1 (7.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.29%), while for a Cartagena win it was 0-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Alcorcon | Draw | Cartagena |
41.95% ( 0.47) | 29.86% ( 1.06) | 28.19% ( -1.53) |
| Both teams to score 40.91% ( -3.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.2% ( -3.77) | 65.8% ( 3.77) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.55% ( -2.69) | 84.45% ( 2.69) |
| Alcorcon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.9% ( -1.62) | 31.09% ( 1.63) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.58% ( -1.94) | 67.42% ( 1.94) |
| Cartagena Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.37% ( -3.35) | 40.62% ( 3.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.78% ( -3.17) | 77.22% ( 3.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Alcorcon | Draw | Cartagena |
| 1-0 @ 14.75% ( 1.34) 2-0 @ 8.62% ( 0.42)2-1 @ 7.76% ( -0.33)3-0 @ 3.36% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.02% ( -0.27)3-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.26)4-0 @ 0.98% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.09% Total : 41.94% | 1-1 @ 13.29% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 12.63% ( 1.65)2-2 @ 3.5% ( -0.5)Other @ 0.44% Total : 29.85% | 0-1 @ 11.37% ( 0.53) 1-2 @ 5.99% ( -0.55)0-2 @ 5.13% ( -0.23)1-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.35)0-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.22)2-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.26)Other @ 1.31% Total : 28.18% |
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