Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alcorcon win with a probability of 41.95%. A draw had a probability of 29.9% and a win for Cartagena had a probability of 28.19%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alcorcon win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.62%) and 2-1 (7.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.29%), while for a Cartagena win it was 0-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.

Result
Alcorcon	Draw	Cartagena
41.95% ( 0.47)	29.86% ( 1.06)	28.19% ( -1.53)

Both teams to score 40.91% (

-3.33)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

34.2% (

-3.77)

65.8% (

3.77)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

15.55% (

-2.69)

84.45% (

2.69)

Alcorcon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.9% (

-1.62)

31.09% (

1.63)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.58% (

-1.94)

67.42% (

1.94)

Cartagena Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.37% (

-3.35)

40.62% (

3.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.78% (

-3.17)

77.22% (

3.17)

Score Analysis

Alcorcon 41.94%

Cartagena 28.18%

Draw 29.85%

Alcorcon	Draw	Cartagena
1-0 @ 14.75% ( 1.34) 2-0 @ 8.62% ( 0.42) 2-1 @ 7.76% ( -0.33) 3-0 @ 3.36% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.02% ( -0.27) 3-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.26) 4-0 @ 0.98% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.09% Total : 41.94%	1-1 @ 13.29% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 12.63% ( 1.65) 2-2 @ 3.5% ( -0.5) Other @ 0.44% Total : 29.85%	0-1 @ 11.37% ( 0.53) 1-2 @ 5.99% ( -0.55) 0-2 @ 5.13% ( -0.23) 1-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.35) 0-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.22) 2-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.26) Other @ 1.31% Total : 28.18%