Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albacete win with a probability of 38.45%. A win for Alcorcon had a probability of 33.8% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Albacete win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.1%) and 0-2 (7.09%). The likeliest Alcorcon win was 1-0 (10.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Albacete would win this match.

Result
Alcorcon	Draw	Albacete
33.8% ( 0.08)	27.75% ( -0.08)	38.45%

Both teams to score 48.38% (

0.25)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.56% (

0.3)

57.44% (

-0.3)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.75% (

0.24)

78.25% (

-0.24)

Alcorcon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.12% (

0.21)

31.88% (

-0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.68% (

0.24)

68.32% (

-0.23)

Albacete Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.02% (

0.15)

28.97% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.13% (

0.18)

64.87% (

-0.18)

Score Analysis

Alcorcon 33.79%

Albacete 38.45%

Draw 27.75%

Alcorcon	Draw	Albacete
1-0 @ 10.55% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 7.48% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 6.04% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.85% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 2.3% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.77% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.82% Total : 33.79%	1-1 @ 13.08% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 9.24% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 4.63% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.75%	0-1 @ 11.44% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 8.1% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 7.09% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.35% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.93% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.91% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.04% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 1.69% Total : 38.45%