Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alcorcon win with a probability of 41.76%. A win for Villarreal II had a probability of 29.37% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alcorcon win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.3%) and 1-2 (8.09%). The likeliest Villarreal II win was 1-0 (10.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Villarreal II | Draw | Alcorcon |
29.37% ( 0.26) | 28.86% ( 0.02) | 41.76% ( -0.28) |
Both teams to score 43.94% ( 0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
37.66% ( 0.02) | 62.33% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.02% ( 0.02) | 81.98% ( -0.01) |
Villarreal II Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.3% ( 0.22) | 37.7% ( -0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.52% ( 0.21) | 74.48% ( -0.21) |
Alcorcon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.54% ( -0.15) | 29.46% ( 0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.54% ( -0.18) | 65.46% ( 0.18) |
Score Analysis |
Villarreal II | Draw | Alcorcon |
1-0 @ 10.83% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 6.46% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 5.28% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 2.1% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 1.72% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.28% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.7% Total : 29.37% | 1-1 @ 13.24% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 11.1% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.56% Total : 28.85% | 0-1 @ 13.57% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 8.3% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 8.09% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 3.38% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 3.3% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.61% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.48% Total : 41.76% |
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