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La Liga | Gameweek 9
Oct 5, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio de Gran Canaria
CV

Las Palmas
0 - 1
Celta Vigo


Silva (45+1'), Mata (70'), Campana (82')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Iglesias (28')
Beltran (32'), Manquillo (42'), Moriba (52'), Aspas (54'), Mingueza (55'), Douvikas (75')
Moriba (54'), Aspas (56')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Villarreal 3-1 Las Palmas
Monday, September 30 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Celta Vigo 1-1 Girona
Sunday, September 29 at 1pm in La Liga

We said: Las Palmas 1-1 Celta Vigo

There has not been a La Liga draw between these two sides since October 2016, but we can see the points being shared on Saturday. Las Palmas are better than what they have shown this season, and a tight match could finish all square. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Las Palmas win with a probability of 39.05%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 35.73% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Las Palmas win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (6.26%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 0-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.

Result
Las PalmasDrawCelta Vigo
39.05% (-0.142 -0.14) 25.21% (-0.0039999999999978 -0) 35.73% (0.144 0.14)
Both teams to score 56.9% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.27% (0.025000000000006 0.03)46.73% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.01% (0.023 0.02)68.99% (-0.024999999999991 -0.02)
Las Palmas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.34% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)23.66% (0.059000000000001 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.23% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)57.76% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
Celta Vigo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.53% (0.092000000000013 0.09)25.46% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.7% (0.127 0.13)60.3% (-0.129 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Las Palmas 39.05%
    Celta Vigo 35.73%
    Draw 25.2%
Las PalmasDrawCelta Vigo
1-0 @ 8.68% (-0.026000000000002 -0.03)
2-1 @ 8.56% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-0 @ 6.26% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.11% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.01% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.81% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-1 @ 1.48% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.08% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.01% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 39.05%
1-1 @ 11.87% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.03% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.86% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-3 @ 1.28% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.2%
0-1 @ 8.24% (0.013000000000002 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.13% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.64% (0.023999999999999 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.7% (0.019 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.67% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.57% (0.018 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.27% (0.01 0.01)
2-4 @ 0.91% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 35.73%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Villarreal 3-1 Las Palmas
Monday, September 30 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Las Palmas 1-1 Betis
Thursday, September 26 at 6pm in La Liga
Last Game: Osasuna 2-1 Las Palmas
Saturday, September 21 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Las Palmas 2-3 Athletic Bilbao
Sunday, September 15 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Alaves 2-0 Las Palmas
Sunday, September 1 at 4pm in La Liga
Last Game: Las Palmas 1-1 Real Madrid
Thursday, August 29 at 8.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Celta Vigo 1-1 Girona
Sunday, September 29 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Celta Vigo 0-1 Atletico
Thursday, September 26 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 3-1 Celta Vigo
Sunday, September 22 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Celta Vigo 3-1 Valladolid
Sunday, September 15 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Osasuna 3-2 Celta Vigo
Sunday, September 1 at 4pm in La Liga
Last Game: Villarreal 4-3 Celta Vigo
Monday, August 26 at 8.30pm in La Liga


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