There has not been a La Liga draw between these two sides since October 2016, but we can see the points being shared on Saturday. Las Palmas are better than what they have shown this season, and a tight match could finish all square. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Las Palmas win with a probability of 39.05%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 35.73% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Las Palmas win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (6.26%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 0-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.

Result
Las Palmas	Draw	Celta Vigo
39.05% ( -0.14)	25.21% ( -0)	35.73% ( 0.14)

Both teams to score 56.9% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.27% (

0.03)

46.73% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.01% (

0.02)

68.99% (

-0.02)

Las Palmas Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.34% (

-0.06)

23.66% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.23% (

-0.09)

57.76% (

0.09)

Celta Vigo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.53% (

0.09)

25.46% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.7% (

0.13)

60.3% (

-0.13)

Score Analysis

Las Palmas 39.05%

Celta Vigo 35.73%

Draw 25.2%

Las Palmas	Draw	Celta Vigo
1-0 @ 8.68% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.56% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 6.26% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 4.11% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.01% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.81% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.48% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.08% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.01% ( -0) Other @ 2.04% Total : 39.05%	1-1 @ 11.87% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.03% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.86% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.28% ( 0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.2%	0-1 @ 8.24% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.13% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 5.64% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.7% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.67% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.57% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.27% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.6% Total : 35.73%