Already approaching six-pointer status, this foot-of-the-table contest will be full of caution and may be decided by just one goal.
Even a struggling Valencia side should be able to edge out Las Palmas, who have sacked their coach after recording four away defeats, in which they conceded an average of over two goals per game.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 51.63%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Las Palmas had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.77%) and 2-1 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.32%), while for a Las Palmas win it was 0-1 (8.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.
-0.34) 
0.43) 
