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La Liga | Gameweek 6
Sep 21, 2024 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio El Sadar
LP

Osasuna
2 - 1
Las Palmas

Budimir (39' pen.), Oroz (60')
Bretones (54')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Moleiro (41')
Ramirez (15'), Marmol (35'), Park (45+3'), Silva (78'), Pena (85'), Januzaj (90+3')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 3-1 Osasuna
Monday, September 16 at 8pm in La Liga

We said: Osasuna 1-0 Las Palmas

We are not expecting a classic on Saturday, but Osasuna have collected seven points from their three home league games this season, and we are backing Moreno's side to navigate their way to another victory here against a struggling Las Palmas outfit. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 46.9%. A draw had a probability of 28.6% and a win for Las Palmas had a probability of 24.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.83%) and 2-1 (8.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.88%), while for a Las Palmas win it was 0-1 (9.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Osasuna would win this match.

Result
OsasunaDrawLas Palmas
46.9% (0.026000000000003 0.03) 28.64% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03) 24.46%
Both teams to score 41.47% (0.065999999999995 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.13% (0.081000000000003 0.08)63.87% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.91% (0.058 0.06)83.09% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Osasuna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.55% (0.051999999999992 0.05)27.45% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.06% (0.069000000000003 0.07)62.94% (-0.068999999999996 -0.07)
Las Palmas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.16% (0.048999999999999 0.05)42.84% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.85% (0.039000000000001 0.04)79.15% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Osasuna 46.9%
    Las Palmas 24.46%
    Draw 28.62%
OsasunaDrawLas Palmas
1-0 @ 15.2% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 9.83% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-1 @ 8.33% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.24% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.59% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.52% (0.006 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.37% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 1.16% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 46.9%
1-1 @ 12.88% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 11.75% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-2 @ 3.53% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 28.62%
0-1 @ 9.97% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
1-2 @ 5.46% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.23% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 1.54% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.19% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.06%
Total : 24.46%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 3-1 Osasuna
Monday, September 16 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Osasuna 3-2 Celta Vigo
Sunday, September 1 at 4pm in La Liga
Last Game: Girona 4-0 Osasuna
Thursday, August 29 at 6pm in La Liga
Last Game: Osasuna 1-0 Mallorca
Saturday, August 24 at 4pm in La Liga
Last Game: Osasuna 1-1 Leganes
Saturday, August 17 at 6pm in La Liga
Last Game: Osasuna 1-2 Alaves
Saturday, August 10 at 6pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Las Palmas 2-3 Athletic Bilbao
Sunday, September 15 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Alaves 2-0 Las Palmas
Sunday, September 1 at 4pm in La Liga
Last Game: Las Palmas 1-1 Real Madrid
Thursday, August 29 at 8.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Leganes 2-1 Las Palmas
Sunday, August 25 at 6pm in La Liga
Last Game: Las Palmas 2-2 Sevilla
Friday, August 16 at 8.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Liverpool 0-0 Las Palmas
Sunday, August 11 at 5pm in Club Friendlies 1


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