Las Palmas will be the fresher of the two sides and can take plenty of confidence from their success last time out, but Girona are a quality outfit, and despite their injury problems, we are expecting the Catalan team to be good enough for a point here.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 44.74%. A win for Las Palmas had a probability of 30.19% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.16%) and 0-2 (7.48%). The likeliest Las Palmas win was 1-0 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
0.31) 
-0.46) 
