Having suffered their first defeat of the year last time out, Osasuna and Sociedad will head into Wednesday's game looking to bounce back and pick up a morale-boosting result. Alguacil's men are currently on a fine run of results at the El Sadar Stadium and we fancy them coming out on top once again.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 40.91%. A win for Osasuna had a probability of 30.95% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.25%) and 0-2 (7.84%). The likeliest Osasuna win was 1-0 (10.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.
0.84) 
-1.39) 
