This is a really tough match for Real Sociedad, with Osasuna showing excellent form at a vital stage of the campaign. Arrasate's side have been inconsistent at home this season, but we are finding it difficult to back them to lose here, so we have had to settle on a low-scoring draw.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 38.01%. A win for Osasuna had a probability of 34.29% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.06%) and 0-2 (6.97%). The likeliest Osasuna win was 1-0 (10.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.
0.32) 
-0.5) 
