It is difficult to back either side with any real confidence at the moment considering their results. A point each would not be the end of the world for either manager under the circumstances, and we are expecting a tight and cagey match on Sunday to finish in a low-scoring draw.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cadiz win with a probability of 40.35%. A win for Osasuna had a probability of 31.86% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cadiz win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.29%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Osasuna win was 0-1 (10.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
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