Alaves might have problems scoring, but they have only conceded 24 times this season, which is far from disastrous. Real Sociedad are also finding it difficult to win at the moment, so we are expecting this to be a tight match, but the hosts should have enough quality to secure all three points.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 56.07%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 18.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.64%) and 2-1 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.67%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (7.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.
0.27) 
-0.12) 
