SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 39.06%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 33.26% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.18%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 (10.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Osasuna in this match.
| Result | ||
| Osasuna | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
39.06% ( 0.16) | 27.69% ( 0.01) | 33.26% ( -0.18) |
| Both teams to score 48.45% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.69% ( -0.09) | 57.31% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.86% ( -0.07) | 78.14% ( 0.07) |
| Osasuna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.44% ( 0.05) | 28.56% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.65% ( 0.06) | 64.35% ( -0.07) |
| Rayo Vallecano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.82% ( -0.17) | 32.18% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.33% ( -0.19) | 68.67% ( 0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Osasuna | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
| 1-0 @ 11.51% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 8.18% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 7.22% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 3.42% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.02% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.94% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.07% ( 0)4-0 @ 0.95% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.75% Total : 39.05% | 1-1 @ 13.05% 0-0 @ 9.19% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 4.64% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.68% | 0-1 @ 10.42% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.4% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 5.91% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 2.8% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.23% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.74% Total : 33.26% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
