Although Osasuna have struggled to consistently pick up wins this season, they will go into Thursday's contest as the favourites to claim all three points.
Los Rojillos won each of their last six league meetings with Almeria, and we expect them to continue that fine record in their opening match of 2024.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 52.04%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Almeria had a probability of 23.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.59%), while for an Almeria win it was 0-1 (6.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Osasuna in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Osasuna.
0.82) 
-0.16) 
