We said: Rayo Vallecano 1-1 Real Betis
Rayo have been excellent at home this season, impressing in both the Copa del Rey and La Liga, and we are finding it really difficult to back the capital side to lose on Wednesday. That said, Betis are also enjoying an impressive campaign, so we have had to settle on a low-scoring draw in the first leg of the semi-final.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 42.92%. A win for Real Betis had a probability of 32.19% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (6.93%). The likeliest Real Betis win was 0-1 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
