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Copa del Rey | Semi-Finals | 2nd Leg
Mar 3, 2022 at 8pm UK
Estadio Benito Villamarín
RV

Real Betis
1 - 1
Rayo Vallecano

Iglesias (90+2')
Jose (79')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Bebe (80')
Balliu (71')

We said: Real Betis 2-1 Rayo Vallecano (Real Betis win 4-2 on aggregate)

The visitors will certainly come out and attack, given they need to overturn a deficit, but that could leave them open at the back, and we expect Pellegrini's men to punish them. Rayo Vallecano have suffered from a major dip in form, and we do not see them handing Los Verdiblancos a defeat on their travels, given the hosts already have a lead to defend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Betis win with a probability of 46.28%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 28.74% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Betis win was 1-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (7.85%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.

Result
Real BetisDrawRayo Vallecano
46.28%24.98%28.74%
Both teams to score 54.95%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.94%48.06%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.77%70.23%
Real Betis Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.19%20.81%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.53%53.47%
Rayo Vallecano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.38%30.62%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.15%66.85%
Score Analysis
    Real Betis 46.28%
    Rayo Vallecano 28.74%
    Draw 24.98%
Real BetisDrawRayo Vallecano
1-0 @ 10%
2-1 @ 9.29%
2-0 @ 7.85%
3-1 @ 4.86%
3-0 @ 4.11%
3-2 @ 2.88%
4-1 @ 1.91%
4-0 @ 1.61%
4-2 @ 1.13%
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 46.28%
1-1 @ 11.83%
0-0 @ 6.37%
2-2 @ 5.5%
3-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.98%
0-1 @ 7.54%
1-2 @ 7.01%
0-2 @ 4.46%
1-3 @ 2.76%
2-3 @ 2.17%
0-3 @ 1.76%
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 28.74%

Read more!
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