Sporting Gijon
2 - 1
Villarreal

Durdevic (67'), Milovanov (88')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Albiol (48')

Preview

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa del Rey clash between Sporting Gijon and Villarreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Sporting Gijon 1-4 Villarreal

Villarreal's current form suggests that they will make light work of Sporting Gijon on Thursday, and we think they will continue their fine goalscoring touch to ease into the last 16. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 43.11%. A win for Sporting Gijon had a probability of 31.73% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.01%) and 0-2 (7.12%). The likeliest Sporting Gijon win was 1-0 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result
Sporting Gijon	Draw	Villarreal
31.73%	25.16%	43.11%

Both teams to score 56.01%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.6%

47.4%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.38%

69.62%

Sporting Gijon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.78%

28.22%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.08%

63.92%

Villarreal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.04%

21.96%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.75%

55.25%

Score Analysis

Sporting Gijon 31.73%

Villarreal 43.11%

Draw 25.15%

Sporting Gijon	Draw	Villarreal
1-0 @ 7.84% 2-1 @ 7.52% 2-0 @ 4.96% 3-1 @ 3.17% 3-2 @ 2.4% 3-0 @ 2.09% 4-1 @ 1% Other @ 2.75% Total : 31.73%	1-1 @ 11.88% 0-0 @ 6.2% 2-2 @ 5.7% 3-3 @ 1.21% Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.15%	0-1 @ 9.4% 1-2 @ 9.01% 0-2 @ 7.12% 1-3 @ 4.55% 0-3 @ 3.6% 2-3 @ 2.88% 1-4 @ 1.73% 0-4 @ 1.36% 2-4 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.38% Total : 43.11%