Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a UD Ibiza win with a probability of 37.13%. A win for Sporting Gijon had a probability of 32.97% and a draw had a probability of 29.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a UD Ibiza win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.36%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Sporting Gijon win was 0-1 (12.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
