SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Las Palmas win with a probability of 45.3%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Sporting Gijon had a probability of 26.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Las Palmas win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.12%) and 2-1 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.97%), while for a Sporting Gijon win it was 0-1 (9.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Las Palmas in this match.
| Result | ||
| Las Palmas | Draw | Sporting Gijon |
| 45.3% | 28.14% | 26.55% |
| Both teams to score 44.26% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.84% | 61.15% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.89% | 81.11% |
| Las Palmas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.01% | 26.99% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.66% | 62.33% |
| Sporting Gijon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.61% | 39.38% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 23.92% | 76.08% |
| Score Analysis |
| Las Palmas | Draw | Sporting Gijon |
| 1-0 @ 13.92% 2-0 @ 9.12% 2-1 @ 8.5% 3-0 @ 3.98% 3-1 @ 3.71% 3-2 @ 1.73% 4-0 @ 1.3% 4-1 @ 1.22% Other @ 1.83% Total : 45.3% | 1-1 @ 12.97% 0-0 @ 10.62% 2-2 @ 3.96% Other @ 0.58% Total : 28.13% | 0-1 @ 9.9% 1-2 @ 6.04% 0-2 @ 4.62% 1-3 @ 1.88% 0-3 @ 1.43% 2-3 @ 1.23% Other @ 1.45% Total : 26.55% |
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