We said: Real Sociedad 1-1 Villarreal
Both Villarreal's and Real Sociedad's form in La Liga has been inconsistent in recent games, suggesting that Saturday's match-up is going to be a close encounter.
The visitors may not have won any away games in the league so far this season, but they have drawn more than half of their games on the road, and that is why the chance of a point a piece this weekend is likely.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 43.86%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 30.83% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 0-1 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.
