SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Gijon win with a probability of 51.76%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Alcorcon had a probability of 20.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Gijon win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.28%) and 2-1 (8.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.31%), while for an Alcorcon win it was 0-1 (8.95%).
| Result | ||
| Sporting Gijon | Draw | Alcorcon |
| 51.76% | 27.8% | 20.44% |
| Both teams to score 39.5% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.79% | 64.21% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.67% | 83.33% |
| Sporting Gijon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.76% | 25.25% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40% | 60% |
| Alcorcon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.84% | 47.16% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 17.39% | 82.61% |
| Score Analysis |
| Sporting Gijon | Draw | Alcorcon |
| 1-0 @ 16.39% 2-0 @ 11.28% 2-1 @ 8.48% 3-0 @ 5.18% 3-1 @ 3.89% 4-0 @ 1.78% 3-2 @ 1.46% 4-1 @ 1.34% Other @ 1.96% Total : 51.76% | 1-1 @ 12.31% 0-0 @ 11.9% 2-2 @ 3.19% Other @ 0.39% Total : 27.79% | 0-1 @ 8.95% 1-2 @ 4.63% 0-2 @ 3.36% 1-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 2.34% Total : 20.44% |
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