Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Gijon win with a probability of 51.76%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Alcorcon had a probability of 20.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Gijon win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.28%) and 2-1 (8.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.31%), while for an Alcorcon win it was 0-1 (8.95%).