Real Madrid have found it difficult to get going on their travels this season, and Celta are a big threat in the final third of the field. Aspas's absence is a blow for the Sky Blues, though, and we are backing Ancelotti's side to pick up a much-needed three points here.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 51.96%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 24.04% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.69%) and 0-2 (8.98%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 1-0 (6.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.
0.01) 
-0.01) 
