Celta may be unbeaten in nine consecutive home matches, but they do tend to struggle in meetings with Atletico, and we think that the visitors will ultimately have the extra quality required to edge out their hosts and clinch a seventh successive head-to-head victory.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 38.65%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 33.78% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.17%) and 0-2 (7.08%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 1-0 (10.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Atletico Madrid in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Atletico Madrid.
0.01) 
-0.17) 
