Girona won both league games between the two sides 1-0 last season, and we are expecting another close match on Sunday afternoon. It would not be a surprise to see a draw, but we just have a feeling that Girona will be able to navigate their way to a vital three points.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 44%. A win for Girona had a probability of 30.38% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Girona win was 0-1 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
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