Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Goianiense win with a probability of 41.47%. A win for Fluminense had a probability of 30.74% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Goianiense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Fluminense win was 0-1 (10.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Goianiense would win this match.