While CRB have a history of punching above their weight, we believe their Copa do Brasil journey will end on Wednesday against a Mineiro side eager to salvage something from what has been a disappointing top-flight campaign.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 64.93%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for CRB had a probability of 14.17%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.39%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.91%), while for a CRB win it was 0-1 (5.08%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Mineiro would win this match.
1.07) 
-0.27) 
