Atletico Mineiro boast the better squad on paper, but CRB have shown on multiple occasions they are no pushovers on home turf.
We can see the teams matching each other over the course of the 90 minutes to settle for a share of the spoils in the end.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 40.82%. A win for CRB had a probability of 31.07% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.24%) and 0-2 (7.8%). The likeliest CRB win was 1-0 (10.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
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