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Copa do Brasil | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Jul 31, 2024 at 11pm UK
Estadio Rei Pele
AM

CRB
2 - 2
Atletico Mineiro

Prado Camargo (6'), Pereira (7')
Cesar (27')
Prado Camargo (55')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Paulinho (41' pen.), Scarpa (54')
Lyanco (24'), Scarpa (56')

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Ceara 0-1 CRB
Friday, May 24 at 1.30am in Copa do Brasil
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

We said: CRB 1-1 Atletico Mineiro

Atletico Mineiro boast the better squad on paper, but CRB have shown on multiple occasions they are no pushovers on home turf. We can see the teams matching each other over the course of the 90 minutes to settle for a share of the spoils in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 40.82%. A win for CRB had a probability of 31.07% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.24%) and 0-2 (7.8%). The likeliest CRB win was 1-0 (10.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
CRBDrawAtletico Mineiro
31.07% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 28.11% (0.00099999999999767 0) 40.82% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Both teams to score 46.62% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.69% (0.0040000000000049 0)59.31% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.29% (0.0020000000000024 0)79.71%
CRB Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.23%34.77% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.5%71.5% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Atletico Mineiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.48% (0.0040000000000049 0)28.52% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.7% (0.0039999999999978 0)64.3% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    CRB 31.06%
    Atletico Mineiro 40.82%
    Draw 28.11%
CRBDrawAtletico Mineiro
1-0 @ 10.47%
2-1 @ 6.94%
2-0 @ 5.53% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 2.45%
3-0 @ 1.95%
3-2 @ 1.53% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 31.06%
1-1 @ 13.14%
0-0 @ 9.92%
2-2 @ 4.36% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 28.11%
0-1 @ 12.44%
1-2 @ 8.24% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 7.8%
1-3 @ 3.45%
0-3 @ 3.26% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.82%
1-4 @ 1.08%
0-4 @ 1.02%
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 40.82%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Ceara 0-1 CRB
Friday, May 24 at 1.30am in Copa do Brasil
Last Game: CRB 1-0 Juventude
Tuesday, September 22 at 11pm in Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Juventude 2-0 CRB
Thursday, September 17 at 8pm in Copa do Brasil
Last Game: CRB 1-1 Cruzeiro
Wednesday, August 26 at 8pm in Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Cruzeiro 0-2 CRB
Thursday, March 12 at 12.30am in Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Paysandu 1-1 CRB (3-5 pen.)
Wednesday, February 19 at 10.15pm in Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 2-1 Corinthians
Sunday, July 28 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 2-0 Vasco
Sunday, July 21 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Juventude 1-1 Atletico Mineiro
Tuesday, July 16 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 2-1 Sao Paulo
Friday, July 12 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Botafogo 3-0 Atletico Mineiro
Monday, July 8 at 12.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 2-4 Flamengo
Thursday, July 4 at 1.30am in Brasileiro


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