Both teams have fared similarly at the defensive end of the pitch but Atletico Mineiro have had the upper hand going forward and we fancy them to come out on top in what should be a keenly-contested affair.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 56.05%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Corinthians had a probability of 19.97%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.66%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.38%), while for a Corinthians win it was 0-1 (6.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Atletico Mineiro in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Atletico Mineiro.
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