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Brasileiro | Gameweek 20
Jul 28, 2024 at 11pm UK
Arena MRV
C

Atletico Mineiro
2 - 1
Corinthians

Hulk (32' pen., 85' pen.)
Fuchs (24'), Santana (90+3')
Lyanco (90+8')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Alberto (39')
Souza (82'), Lyanco (90+3'), Romero (90+5')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Corinthians 2-2 Gremio
Friday, July 26 at 12am in Brasileiro

We said: Atletico Mineiro 2-1 Corinthians

Both teams have fared similarly at the defensive end of the pitch but Atletico Mineiro have had the upper hand going forward and we fancy them to come out on top in what should be a keenly-contested affair. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 56.05%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Corinthians had a probability of 19.97%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.66%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.38%), while for a Corinthians win it was 0-1 (6.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Atletico Mineiro in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Atletico Mineiro.

Result
Atletico MineiroDrawCorinthians
56.05% (-0.569 -0.57) 23.98% (0.18 0.18) 19.97% (0.39 0.39)
Both teams to score 48.68% (0.069000000000003 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.25% (-0.222 -0.22)51.75% (0.222 0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.48% (-0.194 -0.19)73.52% (0.193 0.19)
Atletico Mineiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.69% (-0.294 -0.29)18.31% (0.293 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.6% (-0.503 -0.5)49.4% (0.501 0.5)
Corinthians Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.59% (0.297 0.3)40.4% (-0.298 -0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.98% (0.266 0.27)77.02% (-0.267 -0.27)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Mineiro 56.05%
    Corinthians 19.97%
    Draw 23.98%
Atletico MineiroDrawCorinthians
1-0 @ 12.56%
2-0 @ 10.66% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-1 @ 9.66% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
3-0 @ 6.03% (-0.119 -0.12)
3-1 @ 5.47% (-0.063000000000001 -0.06)
4-0 @ 2.56% (-0.076 -0.08)
3-2 @ 2.48% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.32% (-0.049 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.05% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 56.05%
1-1 @ 11.38% (0.090000000000002 0.09)
0-0 @ 7.4% (0.065 0.07)
2-2 @ 4.38% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 23.98%
0-1 @ 6.71% (0.112 0.11)
1-2 @ 5.16% (0.08 0.08)
0-2 @ 3.04% (0.075 0.07)
1-3 @ 1.56% (0.036 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.32% (0.018 0.02)
0-3 @ 0.92% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 1.27%
Total : 19.97%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 2-0 Vasco
Sunday, July 21 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Juventude 1-1 Atletico Mineiro
Tuesday, July 16 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 2-1 Sao Paulo
Friday, July 12 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Botafogo 3-0 Atletico Mineiro
Monday, July 8 at 12.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 2-4 Flamengo
Thursday, July 4 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 1-1 Atletico GO
Sunday, June 30 at 3pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Corinthians 2-2 Gremio
Friday, July 26 at 12am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Bahia 0-1 Corinthians
Sunday, July 21 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Corinthians 2-1 Criciuma
Wednesday, July 17 at 1am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Vasco 2-0 Corinthians
Wednesday, July 10 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Cruzeiro 3-0 Corinthians
Sunday, July 7 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Corinthians 3-2 Vitoria
Friday, July 5 at 12am in Brasileiro


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