SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ceara win with a probability of 54.89%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for CRB had a probability of 20.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ceara win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.32%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.49%), while for a CRB win it was 0-1 (6.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ceara | Draw | CRB |
54.89% ( 0.02) | 24.2% ( -0.07) | 20.91% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 49.43% ( 0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.53% ( 0.33) | 51.46% ( -0.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.73% ( 0.29) | 73.27% ( -0.28) |
| Ceara Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.36% ( 0.13) | 18.64% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.04% ( 0.22) | 49.96% ( -0.22) |
| CRB Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.75% ( 0.24) | 39.25% ( -0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.04% ( 0.23) | 75.95% ( -0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ceara | Draw | CRB |
| 1-0 @ 12.28% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 10.32% ( -0.05)2-1 @ 9.65% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 5.78% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.41% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.53% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 2.43% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.27% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.06% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.16% Total : 54.88% | 1-1 @ 11.49% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.32% ( -0.1)2-2 @ 4.52% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.87% Total : 24.19% | 0-1 @ 6.84% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 5.38% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 3.2% 1-3 @ 1.68% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.41% Total : 20.91% |
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