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Copa do Brasil | Third Round | 1st Leg
May 23, 2024 at 12am UK
Estadio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho
AM

Sport
1 - 0
Atletico Mineiro

Amaral Barletta de Almeida (14')
Coutinho Silva Lopes (7'), Felipe (12'), Henrique (81')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Vargas (60'), Battaglia (62'), Paulinho (63'), Saravia (67'), Mariano (71'), Santana (76'), Mendes (90')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sao Paulo 1-3 Sport (5-3 pen.)
Thursday, June 1 at 11.30pm in Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Penarol 2-0 Atletico Mineiro
Tuesday, May 14 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores

We said: Sport Recife 1-3 Atletico Mineiro

Atletico Mineiro suffered an unexpected defeat in the Copa Libertadores last week and will be looking to bounce back with another commanding performance here. Despite giving it their all in the first leg, Sport were no match for the Serie A powerhouse, and we feel they will struggle to keep up in this one as well. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 40.19%. A win for Sport Recife had a probability of 33.08% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (7.15%). The likeliest Sport Recife win was 1-0 (9.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.

Result
Sport RecifeDrawAtletico Mineiro
33.08% (0.26300000000001 0.26) 26.72% (-0.333 -0.33) 40.19% (0.065999999999995 0.07)
Both teams to score 51.37% (1.101 1.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.4% (1.372 1.37)53.6% (-1.375 -1.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.89% (1.144 1.14)75.1% (-1.148 -1.15)
Sport Recife Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.58% (0.86499999999999 0.86)30.41% (-0.868 -0.87)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.38% (1.018 1.02)66.61% (-1.023 -1.02)
Atletico Mineiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.82% (0.672 0.67)26.17% (-0.675 -0.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.74% (0.89299999999999 0.89)61.26% (-0.896 -0.9)
Score Analysis
    Sport Recife 33.08%
    Atletico Mineiro 40.19%
    Draw 26.72%
Sport RecifeDrawAtletico Mineiro
1-0 @ 9.48% (-0.286 -0.29)
2-1 @ 7.56% (0.101 0.1)
2-0 @ 5.64% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3% (0.11 0.11)
3-0 @ 2.24% (0.041 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.01% (0.111 0.11)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 33.08%
1-1 @ 12.7% (-0.13 -0.13)
0-0 @ 7.96% (-0.439 -0.44)
2-2 @ 5.07% (0.163 0.16)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 26.72%
0-1 @ 10.67% (-0.37 -0.37)
1-2 @ 8.51% (0.074 0.07)
0-2 @ 7.15% (-0.11 -0.11)
1-3 @ 3.8% (0.104 0.1)
0-3 @ 3.2% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.26% (0.114 0.11)
1-4 @ 1.27% (0.058 0.06)
0-4 @ 1.07% (0.025 0.02)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 40.19%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Sao Paulo 1-3 Sport (5-3 pen.)
Thursday, June 1 at 11.30pm in Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Sport 1-1 Athletico PR
Friday, December 10 at 12.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Chapecoense 0-1 Sport
Tuesday, December 7 at 12am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Sport 1-1 Flamengo
Friday, December 3 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Sao Paulo 2-0 Sport
Sunday, November 28 at 12.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Sport 1-0 Bahia
Friday, November 19 at 12am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Penarol 2-0 Atletico Mineiro
Tuesday, May 14 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Rosario 0-1 Atletico Mineiro
Tuesday, May 7 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Fluminense 2-2 Atletico Mineiro
Saturday, May 4 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Cuiaba 0-3 Atletico Mineiro
Saturday, April 27 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 3-2 Penarol
Wednesday, April 24 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 3-0 Cruzeiro
Sunday, April 21 at 1am in Brasileiro


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