Criciuma are unbeaten in their last six matches on home soil, and they have never lost at home against Sunday's opposition - however, Atletico Mineiro have been in fine form lately, and while they might not be able to secure victory here, we think they will leave with something.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 51.65%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Criciuma had a probability of 22.93%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.91%) and 1-2 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.03%), while for a Criciuma win it was 1-0 (7.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
-1.07) 
0.09) 
