Cruzeiro managed to give themselves a chance in the opening leg, and they should get some energy early on from the home crowd, which will likely increase their confidence.
Unfortunately for the home side, Fluzao have more than enough poise and composure to handle what could be a challenging environment, plus they possess a variety of weapons capable of stepping up and producing, so we expect Fluzao to make it through.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruzeiro win with a probability of 42.11%. A draw had a probability of 30.1% and a win for Fluminense had a probability of 27.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruzeiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.72%) and 2-1 (7.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.28%), while for a Fluminense win it was 0-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Fluminense would win this match.
0) 
