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F
Brasileiro | Gameweek 16
Jul 9, 2022 at 11pm UK
Estádio Olímpico João Havelange
C

Fluminense
2 - 1
Ceara

Cano (39'), Martins (54')
Martins (18'), Melo (77')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Otavio (90+3')
Castilho (70'), Messias (87'), Richard (90+6')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fluminense 4-0 Corinthians
Saturday, July 2 at 8.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Ceara 3-0 The Strongest
Wednesday, July 6 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana

We said: Fluminense 1-0 Ceara

Though they certainly know how to scramble for hard-earned points, Ceara will not be able to spoil Fred's leaving party - ending their undefeated streak in the process. A confident Flu side, with more depth in attacking areas, can extend their winning run and potentially close the gap on leaders Palmeiras. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 51.6%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Ceara had a probability of 21.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.6%) and 2-1 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.3%), while for a Ceara win it was 0-1 (8.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fluminense would win this match.

Result
FluminenseDrawCeara
51.6%26.58%21.82% (0.004999999999999 0)
Both teams to score 44.01% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.77% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)59.23% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.35% (0.004999999999999 0)79.65% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Fluminense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.88% (0.0030000000000001 0)23.12% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.02% (0.0020000000000024 0)56.98% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Ceara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.24% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)42.76% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.91% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)79.09% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Fluminense 51.59%
    Ceara 21.82%
    Draw 26.58%
FluminenseDrawCeara
1-0 @ 14.47%
2-0 @ 10.6%
2-1 @ 9.01% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 5.18% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 4.4%
4-0 @ 1.9%
3-2 @ 1.87% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.61%
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 51.59%
1-1 @ 12.3%
0-0 @ 9.89% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-2 @ 3.83% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 26.58%
0-1 @ 8.4% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 5.23% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 3.57% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 1.48% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.08%
0-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 1.05%
Total : 21.82%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Fluminense 4-0 Corinthians
Saturday, July 2 at 8.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Botafogo 0-1 Fluminense
Sunday, June 26 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Fluminense 2-1 Cruzeiro
Thursday, June 23 at 11pm in Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Fluminense 2-0 Avai
Sunday, June 19 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: America Mineiro 0-0 Fluminense
Thursday, June 16 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Fluminense 0-2 Atletico GO
Saturday, June 11 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Ceara 3-0 The Strongest
Wednesday, July 6 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Ceara 1-1 Internacional
Saturday, July 2 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: The Strongest 1-2 Ceara
Wednesday, June 29 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Ceara 1-1 Atletico GO
Sunday, June 26 at 10pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Fortaleza 2-0 Ceara
Thursday, June 23 at 12am in Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Cuiaba 0-0 Ceara
Saturday, June 18 at 11pm in Brasileiro


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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