Fluminense have a striker in form in the shape of Cano, but the visitors have lost three of their last four matches, so it is difficult to back them with any real confidence here. America Mineiro have lost their last two, but we believe that the two teams will play out a low-scoring draw on Wednesday night.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a America Mineiro win with a probability of 44.09%. A draw had a probability of 29.2% and a win for Fluminense had a probability of 26.69%.
The most likely scoreline for an America Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.1%) and 2-1 (8.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.13%), while for a Fluminense win it was 0-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
-0.05) 
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